2016 SAE Congress: Fear of the driverless car as 2020 approaches

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Written by Paul Weissler
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What willconnectivity and mobility be like in the 2020s? Although the start of the decade is less than four years away, an expert panel at the 2016 SAE World Congress cited research that sees 200 billion devices online andconnected 26 "smart" objects per human that will constitutethe Internet of Things (IoT) and form a key element of new mobility platforms. The connections will be omnipresent and although the focus may be on the automobile, home, computer, work and health-related connections also will be made. And the motorist will have IoT-enabledaccess to whatever data is available, anywhere. Efforts by Google and others to develop self-driving vehicles aside, the major OEMs are taking evolutionary steps to more full-function versions. The present level of technology isthree-quarters of the way to a self-driving car, claimed panelist DavidStrickland, former NHTSA administrator who is a member of a law firm specializing in the regulatoryarea. Fear of the driverless car Stricklandpointed to the privacy issues that are arising as the evolution continues. But he expressed confidence that motoristswill see sufficient incentives to give up privacy "to avoid the carbecoming a [technologically obsolete] brick." John Capp, GM"s Director of Global Safety Strategy, pointedto the forthcoming installations of a V2V module on the 2017 Cadillac CT6 and"Super Cruise" on an unnamed other Cadillac model. Super Cruise is GM"s fusion of radar,ultrasonic sensors, cameras and GPS. It represents more active control,derived from the Driver Assist package (adaptive cruise with automaticbraking) introduced in 2013, but the performance specifications are yet to be revealed. Although GM has mentioned limitations forpoor weather, illegible lane markings and unusual traffic issues, it has notdefined the conditions under which, and how, motorists would be expectedto assume full control. Cadillac willjoin the Volvo S90, with its latest version of Pilot Assist, a semi-autonomoussystem with advanced camera detection of pedestrians, cyclists andanimals, that controls steering to keepthe car in lane even without a vehicle ahead to track. It operates up to 80 mph/130 km/h. Alphabet/Google"sRon Medford, director of safety for the company"s self-driving car project,pointed to an AAA study that showed considerable fear of driverless cars. And GM"s Capp noted that although"enjoying hands free" is for many drivers, it isn"t for all, and theindustry will have to design cars so they can be used the way the motoristwants, when he wants it. "There"ll be guys driving around with old cars" on the same roads asautonomous vehicles, Capp said, "and we"ll just have to deal with that." Aftermarket DSRC coming? One possibilityis that the aftermarket at least could contribute to an autonomous-driving worldwith cars retrofitted to produce traffic information, if not capable of morecomplete participation. Many premiumaftermarket radios are equipped with DSRC capability (digital short rangecommunication, the 5.9 GHz band set aside for traffic function, and presentlyused only for automated toll collection). If enabled, they could communicate with atraffic monitoring infrastructure. Ned Curic, Toyota MotorSales USA"s chief technology officer, said that although the motorist"slevel of connectivity will be pervasive and ride-sharing systems like Lyft aretaking hold, "millennials are very different." They do want to own cars, he said, and theywant to drive more technologically advanced models, so their level of participationin autonomous drive may be limited. The automotiveaftermarket"s role in the picture beyond DSRC also is uncertain. Companies likeCruise Automation, a startup in the process of being acquired by GM, began with the idea of converting Audi models to autonomous drive with installation of a kit. That idea is being supplanted with one toperfect self-driving technology for a broad range of vehicles.



Date written: 18-Apr-2016 03:26 EDT

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